Final Result for June:
Lays: -£857.53
Free Bets: +£16.62
Wimbledon: +£1.67
World Cup: +£65.00
TOTAL: -£774.24
Mon 30 Jun
Monday is one of my better days of the week and I managed only one losing lay. Still, the clean sweep days that I enjoyed during May have been sadly lacking from June.
And then the World Cup...I had France and Germany in a double. Germant scored two minutes too lat for me to collect that one. But I had previously laid off some of that bet after France took so long to dispatch Nigeria.
Yesterday:
Lays: +£69.44
World Cup: -£6.47
TOTAL: +£62.97
Sun 29 Jun
Not much to shout about today. Hit a winner but remained in profit at the end. In the evening I watched the footy and I had all my green riding on Costa Rica (small red on Greece because I was trading manuallt on the sofa on my iPad) and then Greece scored in 90th minute to deny me a nice green on trading that game...that goal cost me a few bob!
Yesterday:
Lays: +£21.91
World Cup: -£1.44
TOTAL: +£20.47
Sat 28 Jun
After the "positive" result by changing stakes at those courses, I did the same again today. The result from Doncaster, Newcastle abnd Curragh was a loss of 3.16 points, about £60. Unfortunately I ran into a couple of larger priced winners at Lingfield and Windsor as well.
Yesterday:
Lays: -£170.75
Wimbledon: +£3.62
World Cup: +£29.01
TOTAL: -£138.12
Fri 27 Jun
Regular readers will know that I am, statistically, poor on a Friday. Why? I dont know. The races are generally a better quality as we go through the week but then why isn't Saturday bad? So, yesterday (Fri) I looked at the cards and decided to ignore Doncaster and Musselburgh, and lower stakes at Newcastle and Curragh as I seemed worse at those tracks than others. Hence the £4.03 results from some races,. In fact, on the day i lost 13.74 points at those tracks...that would have been about £300 loss. As it happens I limited my loss to £103 so I count that as a positive!
Yesterday:
Lays: -£102.81
Thu 26 Jun
I traded another Wimbledon match and started off realy well greening up for a small profit. But a service game went against me so I redded up and left it alone. The lays however were a different game :) Only one winner from 14 selections...a day like this was always on the cards.
Yesterday:
Lays: +£177.08
Wimbledon: -£8.12
TOTAL: +£168.96
Wed 25 Jun
Three low priced winners ensured a profit and I traded onw Wimbledon match to profit and had a flutter on the World Cup successfuly too :)
Yesterday:
Lays: +£52.40
Wimbledon: +£6.17
World Cup: +£8.66
TOTAL: +£67.23
Tue 24 Jun
A dissappointng end to the day with the fourth winner but, TBH, no harm done.
Yesterday:
Lays: -£9.82
Mon 23 Jun
Two winners but the low prices ensured I did not lose on the day and means I have strung together 4 winning days in a row.
Yesterday:
Lays: +£5.79
Sun 22 Jun
Not too many selections becaus eof the reduced racing on a Sunday but I managed a clean sweep :)
Yesterday:
Lays: +£104.43
Sat 21 Jun
Two winners but another day around the £100 mark :)
Yesterday:
Lays: +£93.06
Fri 20 Jun
A winning day...just because I reduced stakes. Oh well.
Yesterday:
Lays: +£110.63
Thu 19 Jun
Bugger me..five unsuccessful lays today. Six tomorrow? :D. Actually, Friday being my worst day of the week statisticaly, perhaps I should not joke. I put faith in the numbers and expect the tide to turn and getting a good string of days together. :)
Yesterday:
Lays: -£142.96
World Cup: -£15.88TOTAL: -£158.84
Wed 18 Jun
I should not have said "Another three winners" as I hit four today.
Yesterday:
Lays: -£97.51
World Cup: +£1.87TOTAL: -£95.64
Tue 17 Jun
Another three winners. June is not turning out as expected at all.
Yesterday:
Lays: -£33.01
World Cup: +£2.43TOTAL: -£30.58
Mon 16 Jun
Three winners but the lowish prices ensured no harm done.
Yesterday:
Lays: -£30.18
Sun 15 Jun
DOH! I forgot to start the bot at lunchtime! Missed the first two races and missed out on £47.20 profit. User error.
Other than that a fine day. One winner at odds of 3.8 so no harm done. I also got a free £10 from Ladbrokes and turned that into £8.01 guaranteed profit. And I did a footy bet on the Argentina game for another £13.58 on my Betdaq account.
Yesterday:
Lays: +£79.21
Free Bets: +£8.01
World Cup: +£13.58
TOTAL: +£100.80
June to date:
Lays: -£905.23
Free Bets: +£16.62
World Cup: +£25.58
TOTAL: -£863.03
Sun 15 Jun
DOH! I forgot to start the bot at lunchtime! Missed the first two races and missed out on £47.20 profit. User error.
Other than that a fine day. One winner at odds of 3.8 so no harm done. I also got a free £10 from Ladbrokes and turned that into £8.01 guaranteed profit. And I did a footy bet on the Argentina game for another £13.58 on my Betdaq account.
Yesterday:
Lays: +£79.21
Free Bets: +£8.01
World Cup: +£13.58
TOTAL: +£100.80
June to date:
Lays: -£905.23
Free Bets: +£16.62
World Cup: +£25.58
TOTAL: -£863.03
Sat 14 Jun
A very busy day today...I'm glad I use a bot because I went into Cambridge on a bit of a pub crawl at 2pm and didnt get back until 10.30, slightly worse for wear :)))
I lost £3.22 on my £50 SkyBet qualifying bet; I'll get my £10 free bet on Monday. That £37 came out of my Betfair balance and ended up in my SkyBet account.
June to date: -£964.10
Lays: +£137.28
Free Bets: -£3.22
Fri 13 Jun
It would seem the declaration of the end of my losing streak was a tad premature. Well, that and the fact that I seem to be crap on a Friday. And it was Friday 13th! All of those things Hahahaha :D
June to date: -£1098.16
Lays: -£267.86
Free Bets: +£19.50
Thu 12 Jun
After "Going Live" with a new method there is alway, in my experience, a hic-cup and today was no exception. Mind you, if all hic-cups only cost me 3 quid I can live with them!
Got £8 of free money from the World Cup yesterday. Going after a SkyBet one today :)
June to date: -£849.80
Lays: -£3.11
Free Bets: +£8.96
Wed 11 Jun
I decided to incorporate my Sub-System into my Main Method from today. I know 76 days is not long to fully test a product, but I am confident it will work so I upped my game. With pleasing results :)))
June to date: -£855.65
Today: +£239.73
Tue 10 Jun
I have been testing what I have called my Sub-System of selecting lays at priced from even money to 3/1. I upped the stakes on those today. I am an impatient sod...I mean I have paper tested since March :D
June to date: -£1095.38
Today: +£23.11
Mon 9 Jun
Chipping away:
June to date: -£1118.49
Today: +£37.70
Sun 8 Jun
Nothing remarkable about Sunday, unless, of course, making a profit is regarded as remarkable...considering I had 6 losing days in a row. Remarkable! :D
Oh, and after losing£1,292 on the losing streak I had to reduce stakes so its going to take me a while to get back to where I was on 1 June.That's OK...it's a marathon not a sprint.
I had £7.64 loss on two free bet qualifiers that I will get back in the next week.
June to date: -£1156.19
Today: +£9.86
Black Saturday 7 Jun
The thing about "Expected Losing Streaks" is that they are, well, expected. But that does not make them any easier to swallow:
June to date: -£1166.05
Today: -£567.10
Fri 6 Jun
I'm going through the worst patch at the moment since I started laying seriously back in March. 5 Losing days in a row and churned 26% of my bank. Bad losing runs like this are expected and toughens you up. Just got to keep the faith and keep laying to get out the other side after some really great days. Target for the month is looking doubtful though and for the first time I have dipped below my budget. Of course, the budget is a smooth line because you can only factor in steady growth and not the upsides of great days and the downsides of losing streaks.
The £47 footy bet was my £50 qualifier with SkyBet for the free £10 bet on Monday.
June to date: -£600.24
Main System: -£612.28 (using £31 stakes)
Sub-System: +£12.04 (using £2 stakes)
Thu 5 Jun
I m certainly picking up my fare share of unsuccessful lays at the moment. Another 2 yesterday. I'm not unhappy though, the numbers will turn around. My sub-system is performing well and I look forward to upping stakes on that one soon.
June to date: -£255.44
Main System: -£266.72 (using £31 stakes)
Sub-System: +£11.28 (using £2 stakes)
Wed 4 Jun
I had a lay bet unmatched again yesterday, successful lay, of course, cost me £30.52 of profit. It's an annoyance so I am going to amend the bot settings to take the bet in-play in the hope it will be matched in running. When you run at a 90% strike rate then the likelihood is that any unmatched lays will be successful lays.
And, if you look at the Betfair screenshots you'll notice the addition of some small lays. This is another method I have been paper-trading. I am selecting short priced tissue favourites and looking for vulnerability using a different rating method to my higher priced selections. During the period from March to end of May it had a strike rate of 74% but the average BSP was just under 3.5 and made 48 points profit from the 10 weeks of paper trading. So I am testing out now with real cash for small stakes to see if it holds water in the real World! In paper testing mode I was calling this my Sub-Sytem to give is distinction from my Main System.
The Main system yesterday suffered two losses and my Strike Rate for June is just 83% after 4 days and 23 selections. Blips like this happen all the time and I am expecting the percentages to even out over the next week or so. I'm expecting some good days :)
June to date: -£185.56
Today: -£139.05
Tue 3 Jun
Sod's Law...I set price limits on my lays so if I get any steamers I avoid them. Almost every one of my lays yesterday went off lower than my target. So, I ended up with just two lays and one of them one. Oh well, there will always be days like these.
June to date: -£36.55
Today: -£126.05
Mon 2 Jun
I just read Mark Iverson's blog about the Betfair Premium Charge (http://markiverson.com/250-to-250000/) and it got me thinking how long I would have going the way I am before the premium charge kicks in. So I contacted Betfair. If I continue to hit my targets then I estimate I have the rest of 2014 OK, but sometime during 2015 I will hit that charge. On the plus side, hitting the PC will mean I am successful at this :)))
Only 7 lays today and I hit a winner, but I went 23 successful lays on the trot so it was going to happen. And the £38 red is due to the weekly free bet from Sky...My SkyBet balance went up by £45.
June to date: +£89.50
Today: -£43.86
Free Bets +£6.63
Sun 1 Jun
I thought it was going to be a quiet day with just 4 meetings but I ended up with 7 lays, all of which were successful :)
June to date: +£126.73
Today: +£126.73
